Wigan Athletic 1-2 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
16%
3.9
X/2
9%
9.5
X/X
11%
4.22
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
11%
8.63
2/X
6%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.80/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.46
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 65%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.4 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Burton Albion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.05
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 Passes 197
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
03.10.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
12.04.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
30.10.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
24.04.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
29.12.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-4 HT 2-2 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-2
AWAY Burton Albion
1.30 xG 1.93
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
539 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion nicked a narrow win over Wigan Athletic 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wigan Athletic at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 66% of the ball to Burton Albion's 34%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.30 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wigan Athletic and 1.17 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Burton Albion?

Wigan Athletic 1-2 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 52%, draw 23%, Burton Albion 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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