Peterborough United vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Peterborough United v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals
Peterborough United vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Exeter City
İN1
3-2
HT 1-1
Peterborough United
İN1
0-2
HT 0-0
Peterborough United
İNTK
Peterborough United 1-1 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics
Peterborough United and Exeter City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Peterborough United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Peterborough United had 40% of the ball to Exeter City's 60%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.16 to 1.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Peterborough United and 1.33 for Exeter City.
What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Exeter City?
Peterborough United 1-1 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Exeter City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 48%, draw 26%, Exeter City 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.