Wigan Athletic 1-1 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.53
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 35% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
14%
4.12
X/2
9%
7.24
X/X
15%
4.19
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.99
2/X
7%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.41/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.43
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
314 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 65%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.0 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Burton Albion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
285 Passes 205
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
12.04.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
30.10.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
24.04.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
29.12.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-4 HT 2-2 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
14.01.2017 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-1
AWAY Burton Albion
1.12 xG 2.46
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
538 Passes 177
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic and Burton Albion shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wigan Athletic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 70% of the ball to Burton Albion's 30%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.12 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wigan Athletic and 1.00 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Burton Albion?

Wigan Athletic 1-1 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 43%, draw 29%, Burton Albion 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wigan Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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