San Carlos 0-1 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.71
Over
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose The Market 34%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.04/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.57
-28% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
31.08.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-3 HT 0-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
22.04.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
17.02.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
01.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 2-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
31.07.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose squeezed past San Carlos 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Sporting San Jose made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Carlos and 1.00 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose?

San Carlos 0-1 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 36%, draw 30%, Sporting San Jose 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Carlos), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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