Pachuca vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
4-4
HT 3-2
Santos Laguna
MEK
1-4
HT 1-2
Pachuca
MEK
2-0
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
Pachuca 2-1 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca squeezed past Santos Laguna 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pachuca had 49% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 51%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.01 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Pachuca and 1.33 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Pachuca 2-1 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 59%, draw 21%, Santos Laguna 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.