Santos Laguna 1-1 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.64
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 55%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.25/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.03
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
20.4 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Pachuca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.45 xG 1.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 Passes 303
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
19.09.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 3-2 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
07.05.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 4-4 HT 3-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
10.04.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-4 HT 1-2 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
04.09.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
04.04.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
1-1
AWAY Pachuca
1.05 xG 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
390 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 38
21 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna and Pachuca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pachuca at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 53% of the ball to Pachuca's 47%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 1.05 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Santos Laguna and 2.67 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?

Santos Laguna 1-1 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 26%, draw 27%, Pachuca 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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