Guadalajara vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
0-4
HT 0-2
Guadalajara
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
Guadalajara 3-2 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Necaxa 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guadalajara had 60% of the ball to Necaxa's 40%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.89 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guadalajara and 0.33 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Necaxa?
Guadalajara 3-2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 48%, draw 30%, Necaxa 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.