Guadalajara vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guadalajara v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guadalajara 3-2 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Necaxa 3-2. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Guadalajara had 60% of the ball to Necaxa's 40%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.89 to 1.19.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guadalajara and 0.33 for Necaxa.
Guadalajara vs Necaxa Result & Final Score
Guadalajara 3 - 2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guadalajara vs Necaxa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 56%, draw 27%, Necaxa 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.