Mazatlan 2-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒06:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+9.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -3%
1.37/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.98
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.4 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.14 xG 2.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 5-1 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
01.10.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-3 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
09.04.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-2 HT 0-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
09.07.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
07.02.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-3 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
21.08.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-3 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.86 xG 2.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 31
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
265 Passes 387
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 49
18 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan got the better of Tigres UANL 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Mazatlan made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mazatlan had 42% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 58%, shots finished 13-31, expected goals 0.86 to 2.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tigres UANL.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mazatlan and 2.83 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Tigres UANL?

Mazatlan 2-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 39%, draw 24%, Tigres UANL 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mazatlan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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