Toluca vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toluca v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toluca 5-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca cruised past Puebla 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (66%) came in, both teams to score (55%) didn't.
By the numbers, Toluca had 59% of the ball to Puebla's 41%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 3.48 to 0.45.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Toluca and 1.00 for Puebla.
Toluca vs Puebla Result & Final Score
Toluca 5 - 0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toluca vs Puebla Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Toluca 74%, draw 16%, Puebla 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.