Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Freiburg v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Freiburg 5-0 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg made light work of Werder Bremen 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.90, roughly 53%.
On the day, Freiburg had 36% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 64%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.84 to 1.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Freiburg and 0.67 for Werder Bremen.
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Result & Final Score
Freiburg 5-0 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 44%, draw 27%, Werder Bremen 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.