Lübeck 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
41%
-9.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.22/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.06
-23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
23.08.2024 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 HT 1-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
05.05.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 0-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
28.10.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
26.02.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
10.10.2021 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 3-0 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
03.11.2019 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel nicked a narrow win over Lübeck 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Drochtersen / Assel found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lübeck and 1.17 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Lübeck 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 31%, draw 32%, Drochtersen / Assel 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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