Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+9.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.26/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.11
-26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lübeck
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.05.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 0-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
28.10.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
26.02.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
10.10.2021 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 3-0 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
03.11.2019 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel and Lübeck shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 1.00 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs Lübeck?

Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 38%, draw 24%, Lübeck 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lübeck), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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