Aubstadt 0-1 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.9pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.25/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.11
-15% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
11.11.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
04.08.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 0-1 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
21.04.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
30.09.2022 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 4-0 HT 3-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
19.03.2022 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 0-3 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
27.08.2021 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-2 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wacker Burghausen nicked a narrow win over Aubstadt 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Wacker Burghausen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aubstadt and 1.17 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Wacker Burghausen?

Aubstadt 0-1 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 36%, draw 28%, Wacker Burghausen 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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