Vilzing 3-1 Nürnberg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
43%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
43%
Away Win
31%
+11.8pp
32%
Under 2.5
35%
-3.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
65%
+3.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.7pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.09/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.98
+24% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 13
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
28.10.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 4-1 HT 2-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
22.07.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-5 HT 0-2 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 1-3 HT 1-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 8-1 HT 4-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Nürnberg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing beat Nürnberg II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 19% / 43% — and on the day Vilzing made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Vilzing and 3.75 for Nürnberg II.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Nürnberg II?

Vilzing 3-1 Nürnberg II in the Germany - Regional League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Nürnberg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 39%, draw 19%, Nürnberg II 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
23 Aug 2024
19:15 Aubstadt vs Wacker Burghausen Analysis →
20:00 Paderborn 07 II vs MSV Duisburg Analysis →
20:00 Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth Analysis →
20:00 Eintracht Frankfurt II vs Homburg Analysis →
20:00 Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau Analysis →
20:00 Buchbach vs Türkgücü München Analysis →