Eintracht Frankfurt II 0-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 50%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.88/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.18
+38% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Homburg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Homburg Homburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt II Eintracht Frankfurt II ALMBÖL
23.08.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt II Eintracht Frankfurt II 5-0 HT 1-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt II
0-1
AWAY Homburg
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt II vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg edged past Eintracht Frankfurt II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Homburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt II had 55% of the ball to Homburg's 45%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt II and 1.00 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt II vs Homburg?

Eintracht Frankfurt II 0-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt II vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt II 29%, draw 31%, Homburg 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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