Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-2 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Aug 2024

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
4-2 HT 4-1
FSV Zwickau
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v FSV Zwickau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.69/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+5% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 7
The Meetings
17.02.2024 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 5-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
27.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
04.02.2018 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
04.08.2017 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
04.03.2017 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-3 HT 0-1 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau AL3
11.09.2016 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 1-2 HT 1-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt got the better of FSV Zwickau 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rot-Weiss Erfurt as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FSV Zwickau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 2.33 for FSV Zwickau.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-2 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 46%, draw 25%, FSV Zwickau 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
23 Aug 2024
19:15 Aubstadt vs Wacker Burghausen Analysis →
19:15 Vilzing vs Nürnberg II Analysis →
20:00 Paderborn 07 II vs MSV Duisburg Analysis →
20:00 Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth Analysis →
20:00 Eintracht Frankfurt II vs Homburg Analysis →
20:00 Buchbach vs Türkgücü München Analysis →