Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
0.94/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.09
-26% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bayreuth
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2024 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
08.09.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
14.05.2022 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
15.10.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
25.05.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
22.05.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1-0
AWAY Bayreuth
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Aschaffenburg edged past Bayreuth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bayreuth at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Viktoria Aschaffenburg had 49% of the ball to Bayreuth's 51%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Viktoria Aschaffenburg and 1.83 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth?

Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Aschaffenburg 28%, draw 26%, Bayreuth 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ BTTS Yes
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