Fortuna Köln 1-0 Wuppertaler SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuppertaler SV EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -22%
1.69/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.08
-14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wuppertaler SV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
26.04.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-1 HT 1-0 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 2-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
19.11.2022 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 2-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
11.02.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-0 HT 1-0 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
11.09.2021 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Wuppertaler SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln squeezed past Wuppertaler SV 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuppertaler SV led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortuna Köln and 1.50 for Wuppertaler SV.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Wuppertaler SV?

Fortuna Köln 1-0 Wuppertaler SV in the Germany - Regional League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Wuppertaler SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 49%, draw 24%, Wuppertaler SV 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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