Fortuna Köln 2-1 Wuppertaler SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuppertaler SV EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.05/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.26
-39% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wuppertaler SV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 2-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
19.11.2022 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 2-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
11.02.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-0 HT 1-0 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
11.09.2021 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
03.03.2021 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
19.09.2020 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 3-2 HT 1-1 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Köln
2-1
AWAY Wuppertaler SV
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Wuppertaler SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln edged past Wuppertaler SV 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Köln had 37% of the ball to Wuppertaler SV's 63%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuppertaler SV led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortuna Köln and 1.50 for Wuppertaler SV.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Wuppertaler SV?

Fortuna Köln 2-1 Wuppertaler SV in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Wuppertaler SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 42%, draw 26%, Wuppertaler SV 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
26 Apr 2024
20:00 Bayreuth vs Türkgücü München Analysis →
20:00 Chemie Leipzig vs Babelsberg Analysis →
20:00 Altglienicke vs Eilenburg Analysis →
20:00 Hansa Rostock II vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
20:00 Weiche Flensburg vs Meppen Analysis →
20:00 Memmingen vs Greuther Fürth II Analysis →