Wuppertaler SV 3-1 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuppertaler SV EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 49%
+16% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.95/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.06
+43% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuppertaler SV
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2024 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-1 HT 1-0 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 2-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
19.11.2022 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 2-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
11.02.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-0 HT 1-0 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
11.09.2021 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
03.03.2021 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuppertaler SV
3-1
AWAY Fortuna Köln
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wuppertaler SV vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuppertaler SV got the better of Fortuna Köln 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Wuppertaler SV found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wuppertaler SV had 37% of the ball to Fortuna Köln's 63%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuppertaler SV had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wuppertaler SV and 0.83 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Wuppertaler SV vs Fortuna Köln?

Wuppertaler SV 3-1 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuppertaler SV vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wuppertaler SV 35%, draw 25%, Fortuna Köln 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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