St. George Saints 2-3 Mt Druitt Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Feb 2025

St. George Saints
2-3
Mt Druitt Town
📅21/02/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2025

St. George Saints vs Mt Druitt Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. George Saints v Mt Druitt Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mt Druitt Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.49/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.47
-20% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 18.7
– Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH St. George Saints vs Mt Druitt Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mt Druitt Town edged past St. George Saints 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was St. George Saints at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of St. George Saints vs Mt Druitt Town?

St. George Saints 2-3 Mt Druitt Town in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. George Saints vs Mt Druitt Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. George Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. George Saints 47%, draw 22%, Mt Druitt Town 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. George Saints) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. George Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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