Green Gully 1-1 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.55/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.30
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 73%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 11.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hume City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.05 xG 0.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
346 Passes 249
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 1-2 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
17.02.2024 Hume City Hume City 2-0 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
15.07.2023 Hume City Hume City 0-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
14.04.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 1-3 HT 1-2 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
23.07.2022 Hume City Hume City 0-2 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
22.04.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Gully and Hume City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Green Gully and 1.17 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs Hume City?

Green Gully 1-1 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 37%, draw 25%, Hume City 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hume City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hume City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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