Gzira United 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
18.08.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
18.08.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
06.04.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
03.12.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 2-4 HT 1-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
25.04.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
0-1
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC edged past Gzira United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Marsaxlokk FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gzira United had 45% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 55%, shots finished 4-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gzira United and 1.17 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Gzira United 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 34%, draw 32%, Marsaxlokk FC 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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