Nafta 2-2 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
13%
6.09
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.1pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-6.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+3.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 32%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.62
+60% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY ND Primorje
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.10.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-1 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
10.08.2024 Nafta Nafta 0-3 HT 0-2 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
2-2
AWAY ND Primorje
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nafta vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta and ND Primorje shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 36% / 23% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nafta had 38% of the ball to ND Primorje's 62%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, ND Primorje led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nafta and 2.00 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Nafta vs ND Primorje?

Nafta 2-2 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nafta 41%, draw 36%, ND Primorje 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nafta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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