Manisa FK 0-2 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.92
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.22
X/X
9%
4.31
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
10%
4.68
2/X
6%
14.05
Value flag · X/2 at 6.22 — our 18% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.32/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.41
-31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.1 Crosses 15.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Boluspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 Passes 277
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
05.05.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
21.12.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
14.01.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
13.08.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
02.04.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
0-2
AWAY Boluspor
0.60 xG 0.86
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
517 Passes 253
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor beat Manisa FK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Manisa FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Manisa FK had 65% of the ball to Boluspor's 35%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.60 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Manisa FK and 1.33 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Boluspor?

Manisa FK 0-2 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 42%, draw 23%, Boluspor 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manisa FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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