Boluspor 2-0 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.13/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.95
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.9 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 333
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
21.12.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
14.01.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
13.08.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
02.04.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
30.10.2021 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
2-0
AWAY Manisa FK
1.68 xG 1.16
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
187 Passes 399
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor got the better of Manisa FK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Boluspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Boluspor had 37% of the ball to Manisa FK's 63%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.68 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boluspor and 1.00 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Manisa FK?

Boluspor 2-0 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 30%, draw 32%, Manisa FK 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manisa FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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