Bandırmaspor 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Bandırmaspor
2-0 HT 1-0
MKE Ankaragücü
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bandırmaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.12
1/2
11%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
10%
5.83
X/2
15%
5.1
X/X
9%
4.53
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
14%
3.41
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bandırmaspor v MKE Ankaragücü — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.13/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.36
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.2 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Bandırmaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 0.90
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
425 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
16.10.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
08.10.2014 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü S2-K
20.05.2014 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2P
16.05.2014 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü S2P
22.12.2013 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2-K

Bandırmaspor 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
2-0
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
0.86 xG 0.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
251 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor saw off MKE Ankaragücü 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Bandırmaspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 44% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 56%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.86 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.17 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Bandırmaspor 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated an MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 33%, draw 28%, MKE Ankaragücü 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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