Gençlerbirliği 0-1 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 36% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
15%
4.42
X/2
13%
6.58
X/X
12%
4.14
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
9%
5.23
2/X
11%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.4pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.44/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.28
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.6 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 Passes 296
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-1 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
27.11.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
25.03.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-2 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
15.10.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-2 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
09.04.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
07.11.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
0-1
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.62 xG 0.76
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
391 Passes 205
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü edged past Gençlerbirliği 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gençlerbirliği at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 61% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 39%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.62 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.50 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Keçiörengücü?

Gençlerbirliği 0-1 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 45%, draw 28%, Keçiörengücü 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
28 Sep 2024
16:00 Bandırmaspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Analysis →
19:00 Boluspor vs Manisa FK Analysis →