Manisa FK 1-0 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 35% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.44
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
16%
5.21
X/2
17%
6.18
X/X
22%
4.06
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
5%
4.39
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.33/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.36
-16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.5 Crosses 15.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Boluspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.50 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
361 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
14.01.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
13.08.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
02.04.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
30.10.2021 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
1-0
AWAY Boluspor
0.46 xG 0.79
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
196 Passes 348
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK squeezed past Boluspor 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Manisa FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manisa FK had 39% of the ball to Boluspor's 61%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.46 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Boluspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Manisa FK and 1.60 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Boluspor?

Manisa FK 1-0 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 38%, draw 34%, Boluspor 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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