Çorum FK 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 32% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.4
X/2
9%
7.81
X/X
17%
4.92
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
10%
5.7
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.04/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.08
+43% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
25.3 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.17 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
382 Passes 426
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
15.01.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
28.08.2022 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S2-B
11.04.2021 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S2-B
09.12.2020 Çorum FK Çorum FK 5-1 HT 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
1-1
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.82 xG 0.74
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
382 Passes 185
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK and Şanlıurfaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Çorum FK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Çorum FK had 65% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 35%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.82 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Çorum FK and 0.60 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Çorum FK 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 46%, draw 28%, Şanlıurfaspor 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Çorum FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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