Bodrum FK 3-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

Bodrum FK
3-0 HT 2-0
Kocaelispor
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Bodrum FK vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.75
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
17%
4.26
X/2
8%
7.42
X/X
15%
4.09
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
8%
6.0
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bodrum FK v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.44/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.46
+28% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.8 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Bodrum FK vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 1.46
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
167 Passes 319
58% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.12.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L

Bodrum FK 3-0 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
3-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.65 xG 0.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
196 Passes 335
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK cruised past Kocaelispor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bodrum FK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 41% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 59%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.65 to 0.23.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Kocaelispor?

Bodrum FK 3-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 46%, draw 31%, Kocaelispor 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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