Ümraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ümraniyespor v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals
Ümraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Ümraniyespor
T1L
3-3
HT 2-1
Erzurumspor FK
T1L
0-2
HT 0-1
Ümraniyespor
T1L
4-1
HT 2-0
Ümraniyespor
T1L
1-2
HT 0-0
Erzurumspor FK
T1L
1-2
HT 0-0
Erzurumspor FK
T1L
Ümraniyespor 2-0 Erzurumspor FK — Actual Match Statistics
Ümraniyespor beat Erzurumspor FK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ümraniyespor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ümraniyespor had 43% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 57%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 1.11 to 1.61 — on chances, Erzurumspor FK could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ümraniyespor and 2.00 for Erzurumspor FK.
What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Ümraniyespor 2-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 43%, draw 28%, Erzurumspor FK 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.