Altay 0-2 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
48%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 32% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.45
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
8%
20.3
X/1
12%
13.95
X/2
16%
3.45
X/X
12%
6.25
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.74
2/X
6%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+12.4pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.2pp
48%
Away Win
67%
-19.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altay EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 72%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.08/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.62
+49% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
14.1 Crosses 16.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altay
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Adanaspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.96 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Altay Altay T1L
03.02.2023 Altay Altay 0-1 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
04.09.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Altay Altay T1L
19.04.2021 Altay Altay 4-1 HT 2-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
13.12.2020 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-4 HT 0-2 Altay Altay T1L
23.02.2020 Altay Altay 3-1 HT 2-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altay
0-2
AWAY Adanaspor
0.74 xG 0.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
327 Passes 194
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Altay vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor beat Altay 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adanaspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Altay had 61% of the ball to Adanaspor's 39%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.74 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altay had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Altay and 0.83 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Altay vs Adanaspor?

Altay 0-2 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altay vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adanaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Altay 26%, draw 26%, Adanaspor 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adanaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adanaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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