Padova Calcio vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Padova Calcio v FC Bari 1908 — Team-Based Signals
Padova Calcio vs FC Bari 1908 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Padova Calcio 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Actual Match Statistics
Padova Calcio and FC Bari 1908 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Padova Calcio at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (56%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Padova Calcio's favour, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.04 to 1.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Padova Calcio against 2.17 for FC Bari 1908.
Padova Calcio vs FC Bari 1908 Result & Final Score
Padova Calcio 1 - 1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Padova Calcio vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 46%, draw 30%, FC Bari 1908 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Padova Calcio) went the other way.