Carrarese vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Carrarese v Monza — Team-Based Signals
Carrarese vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Carrarese 0-1 Monza — Actual Match Statistics
Monza edged past Carrarese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.
Under the surface, Carrarese had 44% of the ball to Monza's 56%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.60 to 0.70.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monza led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carrarese and 3.00 for Monza.
Carrarese vs Monza Result & Final Score
Carrarese 0 - 1 Monza in the Italy - Serie B on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Carrarese vs Monza Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 26%, draw 29%, Monza 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.