Carrarese 0-1 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Feb 2026

Carrarese
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Monza
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.36
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.77
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.79
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.88
6+
4%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.67
1/2
3%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
10%
7.31
X/2
16%
4.65
X/X
18%
4.22
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.8
2/X
5%
12.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Carrarese The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza The Market 49%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
1.34 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Weak
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Monza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.33 xG 3.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 10
398 Passes 400
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 0
20.12.2025 Monza Monza 4-1 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
09.11.2019 Monza Monza 2-2 HT 1-2 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
0 - 1
AWAY Monza
0.60 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
261 Passes 353
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Carrarese vs Monza
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monza edged past Carrarese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.

Under the surface, Carrarese had 44% of the ball to Monza's 56%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.60 to 0.70.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monza led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carrarese and 3.00 for Monza.

Carrarese vs Monza Result & Final Score

Carrarese 0 - 1 Monza in the Italy - Serie B on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Carrarese vs Monza Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 26%, draw 29%, Monza 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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