Monza 4-1 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.05
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
20%
3.97
X/2
6%
10.95
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
8%
9.55
2/X
4%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.7pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.0pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.76/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.83
-12% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
23.4 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Carrarese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
09.11.2019 Monza Monza 2-2 HT 1-2 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
4-1
AWAY Carrarese
3.86 xG 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
400 Passes 398
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monza vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza ran out comfortable winners over Carrarese 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Monza had 51% of the ball to Carrarese's 49%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 3.86 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Monza vs Carrarese?

Monza 4-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Monza 61%, draw 20%, Carrarese 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monza) ✗ BTTS No
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