Modena 1-2 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Dec 2025

Modena
1-2 HT 0-1
Venezia
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Modena vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 32% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.06
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.8
X/2
14%
5.72
X/X
15%
4.07
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
14%
3.97
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Venezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.17/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.9 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Modena vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Venezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
288 Passes 426
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Venezia Venezia 2-2 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
30.09.2023 Modena Modena 1-3 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
01.05.2023 Venezia Venezia 5-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
08.12.2022 Modena Modena 2-2 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
27.02.2005 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
10.10.2004 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB

Modena 1-2 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
1-2
AWAY Venezia
0.54 xG 3.38
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
227 Passes 436
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 32
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Modena vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia squeezed past Modena 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Venezia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Modena had 38% of the ball to Venezia's 62%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.54 to 3.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Venezia's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Modena and 2.00 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Modena vs Venezia?

Modena 1-2 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Modena 34%, draw 30%, Venezia 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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