Cesena 1-1 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.15
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
19%
4.89
X/2
11%
7.04
X/X
13%
3.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
2/2
12%
5.56
2/X
7%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.24
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.9 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.79 xG 1.30
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Cesena Cesena 1-2 HT 0-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
22.12.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
19.05.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-2 HT 0-2 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
22.03.2014 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
13.10.2013 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
04.05.2013 Cesena Cesena 3-1 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-1
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.47 xG 0.71
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
351 Passes 471
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and Juve Stabia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Cesena at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cesena had 43% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 57%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.47 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cesena and 1.00 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Juve Stabia?

Cesena 1-1 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cesena 46%, draw 27%, Juve Stabia 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cesena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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