Juve Stabia 1-0 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.88
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.07
X/2
17%
6.33
X/X
15%
3.54
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.91
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.36/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.11
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
22.9 Crosses 17.1
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Cesena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-2 HT 0-2 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
22.03.2014 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
13.10.2013 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
04.05.2013 Cesena Cesena 3-1 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
15.12.2012 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-2 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
1-0
AWAY Cesena
1.45 xG 0.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
358 Passes 243
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia nicked a narrow win over Cesena 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Juve Stabia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 57% of the ball to Cesena's 43%, shots finished 9-3, expected goals 1.45 to 0.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Juve Stabia's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juve Stabia and 2.00 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Cesena?

Juve Stabia 1-0 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 36%, draw 32%, Cesena 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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