Cremonese 1-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.42
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
12%
4.22
X/2
9%
8.94
X/X
15%
4.52
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
12%
7.04
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.38/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.38
-16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.4 Crosses 15.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.65 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
331 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-2 HT 1-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
03.09.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
08.04.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-3 HT 1-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTA
24.10.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-1
AWAY Sampdoria
2.43 xG 0.78
68% Ball Possession 32%
34 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
516 Passes 211
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
48 Box Touches 11
52 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese and Sampdoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cremonese had 68% of the ball to Sampdoria's 32%, shots finished 34-6, expected goals 2.43 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cremonese and 1.25 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Sampdoria?

Cremonese 1-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 43%, draw 27%, Sampdoria 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cremonese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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