Cesena 1-2 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.95
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.26
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.97
X/2
11%
7.06
X/X
13%
3.61
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
14%
5.63
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.07/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.93
+14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.7 Crosses 15.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.09 xG 1.45
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
243 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
19.05.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-2 HT 0-2 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
22.03.2014 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
13.10.2013 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
04.05.2013 Cesena Cesena 3-1 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
15.12.2012 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-2 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-2
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.49 xG 1.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
283 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia squeezed past Cesena 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cesena at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cesena had 51% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 49%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.49 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cesena and 1.00 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Juve Stabia?

Cesena 1-2 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cesena 43%, draw 26%, Juve Stabia 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cesena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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