Salernitana 1-2 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Mar 2025

Salernitana
1-2 HT 0-2
Palermo
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Salernitana vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.81
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
11%
5.79
X/2
14%
6.05
X/X
14%
4.26
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
4.07
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salernitana v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.31/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.26
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.0 Crosses 19.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Salernitana vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Palermo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 0.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
290 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
18.01.2019 Palermo Palermo 1-2 HT 1-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
25.08.2018 Salernitana Salernitana 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
18.05.2018 Salernitana Salernitana 0-2 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
28.12.2017 Palermo Palermo 3-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
25.01.2004 Palermo Palermo 0-2 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB

Salernitana 1-2 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
1-2
AWAY Palermo
1.43 xG 1.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
384 Passes 348
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
43 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo nicked a narrow win over Salernitana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Palermo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Salernitana had 53% of the ball to Palermo's 47%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.43 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salernitana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Salernitana and 1.00 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Palermo?

Salernitana 1-2 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 36%, draw 26%, Palermo 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palermo)
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