Palermo 0-1 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Oct 2024

Palermo
0-1 HT 0-1
Salernitana
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Palermo vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.2
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.68
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.44
X/2
11%
7.53
X/X
13%
4.52
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.65
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.54/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
+15% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.1 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Palermo vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Salernitana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.67 xG 0.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
416 Passes 251
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2019 Palermo Palermo 1-2 HT 1-1 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
25.08.2018 Salernitana Salernitana 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
18.05.2018 Salernitana Salernitana 0-2 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
28.12.2017 Palermo Palermo 3-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
25.01.2004 Palermo Palermo 0-2 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
23.09.2003 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB

Palermo 0-1 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
0-1
AWAY Salernitana
1.65 xG 0.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
375 Passes 369
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana squeezed past Palermo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Palermo had 51% of the ball to Salernitana's 49%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.65 to 0.41 — on chances, Palermo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palermo and 0.83 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Salernitana?

Palermo 0-1 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Palermo 41%, draw 28%, Salernitana 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5
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