Cremonese 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 28% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.45
X/2
17%
7.23
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
10%
5.51
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.39/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.31
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.8 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
432 Passes 223
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTK
05.04.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
26.08.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
16.02.2018 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
19.09.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
12.08.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 2-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.32 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
375 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese and FC Bari 1908 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cremonese had 56% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 44%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.32 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cremonese and 1.17 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs FC Bari 1908?

Cremonese 1-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 42%, draw 26%, FC Bari 1908 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cremonese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5
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