Mantova 1-1 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Oct 2024

Mantova
1-1 HT 0-0
Brescia
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Mantova vs Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.06
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
15%
5.87
X/2
9%
5.49
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.69
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mantova v Brescia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 40%
+25% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.39
+36% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
11.6 Crosses 19.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Mantova vs Brescia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Brescia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
7 Corners 5
The Meetings
02.04.2010 Brescia Brescia 1-0 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
02.11.2009 Mantova Mantova 2-2 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
25.04.2009 Brescia Brescia 0-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
29.11.2008 Mantova Mantova 0-2 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
15.03.2008 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
23.10.2007 Brescia Brescia 0-3 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB

Mantova 1-1 Brescia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
1-1
AWAY Brescia
2.03 xG 0.68
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
525 Passes 177
92% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova and Brescia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mantova at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mantova had 71% of the ball to Brescia's 29%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.03 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brescia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mantova and 1.00 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Brescia?

Mantova 1-1 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mantova 42%, draw 27%, Brescia 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mantova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mantova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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