Catanzaro 2-2 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.49
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.19
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
14%
5.53
X/2
12%
5.48
X/X
19%
3.38
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.14
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
0.95/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.03
+4% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.5 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Modena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 0.85
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
466 Passes 304
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2024 Modena Modena 1-3 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
04.11.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
31.07.2022 Modena Modena 3-1 HT 2-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTK
25.02.2006 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
09.10.2005 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.03.2005 Modena Modena 2-0 HT 2-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
2-2
AWAY Modena
0.41 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
304 Passes 203
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro and Modena shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catanzaro had 57% of the ball to Modena's 43%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.41 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Catanzaro and 1.50 for Modena.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Modena?

Catanzaro 2-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 35%, draw 33%, Modena 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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