Cosenza Calcio 0-2 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.49
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.36
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
13%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.64
X/2
11%
6.31
X/X
14%
3.52
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.19
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.45/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
23.1 Crosses 18.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Südtirol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.28 xG 0.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 211
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
16.09.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-2 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
18.02.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
17.09.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0-2
AWAY Südtirol
1.56 xG 0.38
65% Ball Possession 35%
33 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
419 Passes 187
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 10
43 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol beat Cosenza Calcio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Südtirol found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 65% of the ball to Südtirol's 35%, shots finished 33-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.38 — on chances, Cosenza Calcio could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cosenza Calcio had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cosenza Calcio and 0.75 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Südtirol?

Cosenza Calcio 0-2 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 34%, draw 33%, Südtirol 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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