Südtirol 0-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Jan 2024

Südtirol
0-1 HT 0-0
Cosenza Calcio
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.2
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.79
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.88
X/2
11%
5.69
X/X
11%
3.3
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.7
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.5pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Südtirol v Cosenza Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.03/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.38
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.8 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.22
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
206 Passes 378
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-2 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
18.02.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
17.09.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB

Südtirol 0-1 Cosenza Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
0-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.75 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
228 Passes 322
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio nicked a narrow win over Südtirol 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cosenza Calcio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Südtirol had 44% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 56%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.75 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 1.00 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio?

Südtirol 0-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 38%, draw 29%, Cosenza Calcio 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Südtirol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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