FeralpiSalo 5-1 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.7
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
11%
13.1
X/1
19%
4.52
X/2
15%
7.26
X/X
8%
4.72
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
12%
5.27
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lecco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.75 xG 1.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
322 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2023 Lecco Lecco 1-2 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB
15.03.2023 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
12.11.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
23.01.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
19.09.2021 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
07.11.2019 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
5-1
AWAY Lecco
1.47 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
313 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 18
5 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo swept aside Lecco 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 47% of the ball to Lecco's 53%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.47 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.33 for Lecco.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Lecco?

FeralpiSalo 5-1 Lecco in the Italy - Serie B on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 42%, draw 26%, Lecco 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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