Modena 3-0 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Jan 2024

Modena
3-0 HT 2-0
Parma
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Modena vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.27
6+ Goals
10%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.51
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
13%
6.95
X/2
13%
4.35
X/X
8%
4.14
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
27%
2.86
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Modena v Parma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
0.58/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.13
+70% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
19.0 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Modena vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Parma
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.54 xG 1.53
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
230 Passes 471
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
14.04.2023 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTB
26.11.2022 Parma Parma 1-2 HT 0-2 Modena Modena İTB
28.02.2009 Modena Modena 2-2 HT 2-2 Parma Parma İTB
04.10.2008 Parma Parma 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
06.03.2004 Modena Modena 2-2 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA

Modena 3-0 Parma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
3-0
AWAY Parma
0.87 xG 0.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
326 Passes 482
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 28
2 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Modena vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena ran out comfortable winners over Parma 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Parma at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Modena had 42% of the ball to Parma's 58%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.87 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Modena and 1.17 for Parma.

What was the final score of Modena vs Parma?

Modena 3-0 Parma in the Italy - Serie B on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Modena 29%, draw 24%, Parma 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Parma), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
27 Jan 2024
16:00 Venezia vs Ternana Analysis →
16:00 Cremonese vs Brescia Analysis →
16:00 Como vs Ascoli Analysis →
16:00 Südtirol vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →
18:15 FC Bari 1908 vs Reggiana Analysis →
18:15 FeralpiSalo vs Lecco Analysis →